LeBron James high fives with fans
The odds of LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers winning the 2019-20 NBA Championship jumped from +350 to+500 following the ACL tear suffered by C Boogie Cousins. Photo by @picturedNBA (Twitter)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers win total has fluctuated during a busy off-season
  • Anthony Davis & Dwight Howard were key additions that could lead to a high number of wins
  • LeBron James will be motivated to rebound after a disappointing first season in Los Angeles

What can we expect from the Los Angeles Lakers this season?

LeBron James is healthy, Anthony Davis is wearing purple and gold and well, that’s about it. Odds makers have lowered the season win total in La-la Land begging the question – is there value in betting the OVER?

Los Angeles Lakers Win Total

LA Lakers Win Total Odds at BetOnline
Over 48.5 -110
Under 48.5 -110

*Odds taken 8/29/19

The NBA win totals tracker shows the Lakers number has been a moving target which is reasonable. They turned over the majority of the roster and recently needed to sign Dwight Howard to replace the injured DeMarcus Cousins. A

Add up all the changes there’s reason to find value in betting the over of 48.5 wins.

Win Total at BetOnline Surprisingly Low

49 wins hits the over on this wager and that’s well within reach for the Lakers this season. Consider the teams that did it last year – Milwaukee, Toronto, Philadelphia, Boston, Golden State, Denver, Portland, Houston, Utah and Oklahoma City. That’s eight teams that reached 49 or more wins while three more finished one win shy.

The Lakers themselves had 37 wins last year and that was with LeBron James missing a chunk of the season due to injury and shutting it down early. Asking this edition of the Lakeshow to add 12 wins to last years total seems modest.

Lakers Will Aim for Home Court Advantage

The Western Conference is going to be a dogfight come playoff time, and having as many games at home as possible will be important.

Yes, LeBron will likely take some games off for “load management” and Davis might as well, but it shouldn’t pose too big of a problem. Barring injury, the fact one of those two mega stars will always be on the court of the Lakers will help them pile up the victories.

Assuming the Clippers and Rockets take two of the four top seeds in the conference that leaves two more up for grabs. I imagine the Lakers, Nuggets, Blazers and Jazz will fight for those spots. Only five games separated 3rd from 8th in the standings last year, so I imagine Los Angeles won’t put it into cruise control and will have seeding in their mind all season.

Anthony Davis the X-Factor

Anthony Davis is arguably the best player LeBron has ever played with in the NBA due to his size and unique skill set to score at all levels and be an elite rim protector on the defensive end.

Last year before his trade demand while still playing major minutes in New Orleans, Davis averaged 25.9 points, 12 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game. The two years previous he topped 28 points per game. He’s not just a star, he’s one of the games best players. Now that he’s motivated and in the setting he wants alongside James, I expect he’ll be an MVP candidate.

A motivated LeBron plus a motivated Davis? Expect the wins to come early and often in LA.

PICK: Over 48.5 (-110)

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